# Trumping the markets – what impact has the new US President had in his first month in office? Author: Pal Sinha, Barnali Author URL: https://financedigest.com/author/pal-sinha-barnali Published: 2017-02-24 Category: BUSINESS Category URL: https://financedigest.com/category/business Meta Title: How Trump's First Month in Office Has Affected Gold Meta Description: Discover how Donald Trump's first month as President has affected gold trading, the SP500, and the US Dollar Index. Get insights from easyMarkets expert. URL: https://financedigest.com/trumping-the-markets-what-impact-has-the-new-us-president-had-in-his-first-month-in-officehtml ![undefined](https://prod.superblogcdn.com/site_cuid_cm5qst7v3003gwirgwqtxn8i8/images/1-32-1736844159308-compressed.jpg) - Gold trading at an impressive $1,235.60 OZ (easyMarkets) - SP500 trading at an all-time high - US Dollar Index performing strongly at 101.63 It may hard to believe, but the drama and turmoil circling 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue have not been around forever – Donald Trump has only officially been installed in the [White House](https://www.financedigest.com/u-s-donates-more-than-110-million-covid-19-vaccine-doses-abroad-white-house.html "U.S. donates more than 110 million COVID-19 vaccine doses abroad -White House") as 45th President of the United States for one month! **_“The past month has been a carnival, with a parade of Trump’s statements and decisions, from the immigration ban to his latest talk of a fictional terrorist incident in Sweden. It wouldn’t be too shocking if the next big headline was ‘Trump has appointed a horse to a major role in his cabinet,’ after some of the announcements over the last month.”_** **_James Trescothick, Reputation and Education Manager at forex and CFD broker_** [**_easyMarkets_**](http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?f=0013LVSHW-pPLTc_vKpkNqaWgvf1fRPhbuYLCamhYRYX5Dk2PD4UEWm0KfYbBmk-CJI7EQaDU4l6YTNt11y_HZow2QoA_xM_OpIfHyiuB1SAWJZuJNkRR8RkiAVBIc8NHAF6vz9QDLi7_NoK9GIuY49eUBaLm62J-cdcadY9s8zoBBB2pBJs6Fk_A==&c=yE6c21n8P9pkflhqTmt7GxpHqpR-MKgcOfFzJ9swGAazeYmUDTGJcw==&ch=i2NYXruLvtmg9iwZWXCWXfgRimdNtHvV000VQIL_J6cncob1KWEoJA==) So, what [impact has all of this had on the markets](https://www.financedigest.com/the-impact-of-consumer-spending-on-the-market-2.html "The Impact of Consumer Spending on the Market")? Following Trump’s surprise election win in November, the US dollar (USD) and the [markets soared](https://www.financedigest.com/eex-markets-to-remain-open-as-power-prices-soar-statement.html "EEX markets to remain open as power prices soar – statement"). The SP500 reportedly had the strongest run from a president’s first-term win since John F Kennedy. But now that Trump is actually sitting in the Oval Office, how has the market been reacting? **US dollar** Looking at the US Dollar Index (USDX), we may get a better idea of how the USD has fared. The US [Dollar Index measures the value of the USD against a basket of six other major currencies](https://www.financedigest.com/worst-not-over-for-em-currencies-as-u-s-dollar-thunders-on-reuters-poll.html "Worst not over for EM currencies as U.S. dollar thunders on: Reuters poll") (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF). The index [moves higher when the USD gains strength](https://www.financedigest.com/the-high-strength-rtd-malt-beverages-market-to-move-beyond-the-monotony.html "The High Strength Rtd Malt Beverages Market To Move Beyond The Monotony") against these other currencies, and vice versa. The USDX closed at around 100.55 on 20 January 2017, when Trump was sworn in. Since that date it has dropped to 99.20, before rebounding to around 101.75. At the time of writing, it is trading around 101.63. _Was it the Trump effect?_ He would most certainly love to say he is the reason behind the strength of the currency, but the fact is that on the same day, a bout of positive US economic data was released. Also on that day, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen testified on [monetary policy](https://www.financedigest.com/asian-economic-powers-warn-of-risks-from-war-monetary-policy-normalisation.html "Asian economic powers warn of risks from war, monetary policy normalisation") and raised expectations for an interest-rate hike in March, which may have had a positive effect on the USD. **Gold** Any trader worth their weight in gold would tell you that the yellow metal is a [safe haven](https://www.financedigest.com/dollar-nudges-lower-as-u-s-debt-ceiling-deal-dents-safe-haven-appeal.html "Dollar nudges lower as U.S. debt ceiling deal dents safe-haven appeal") and a hedge against inflation. A safe haven is an asset which [investors flock to for safety when there is uncertainty in the markets](https://www.financedigest.com/markets-slammed-with-noise-investors-trust-tone-to-set-the-record-straight.html "Markets Slammed With Noise, Investors Trust Tone to Set the Record Straight"). Trump’s win in November pushed gold [prices higher](https://www.financedigest.com/mcdonalds-sales-soar-on-higher-u-s-prices-newer-menu-items.html "McDonald’s sales soar on higher U.S. prices, newer menu items") before collapsing to around $1,123.36 OZ. Since the beginning of the year, however, it has managed to [bounce back](https://www.financedigest.com/bounce-back-loans-what-to-do-if-you-cant-repay-2.html "Bounce Back Loans: what to do if you can’t repay?") and is currently trading at around $1,235.60 OZ. _Was it the Trump effect?_ _**“It is a consensus of opinion that political risk, which has risen considerably since Trump’s election, has made gold shine to many investors, and talk of uncertainty is keeping the yellow metal in demand. Some could argue that this is simply a repeat of 2016, when gold also started on a bull run, however it seems more likely that Trump has played a role in this one.”**_ _**James Trescothick, Reputation and Education Manager, easyMarkets**_ **The stock market** The stock market, unlike gold, tends to rise when there is [risk appetite](https://www.financedigest.com/u-s-dollar-climbs-to-two-year-peak-as-risk-appetite-tumbles-yuan-drops.html "U.S. dollar climbs to two-year peak as risk appetite tumbles; yuan drops") and opportunism. Since the November [election results](https://www.financedigest.com/asia-stocks-advance-as-investors-await-u-s-midterm-election-results.html "Asia stocks advance as investors await U.S. midterm election results"), the stock market has seen gains, and the momentum has continued, with the SP500 trading at an all-time high. ![computer](https://prod.superblogcdn.com/site_cuid_cm5qst7v3003gwirgwqtxn8i8/images/com-1736844159130-compressed.jpg) _Was it the Trump effect?_ Well, [Wall Street](https://www.financedigest.com/dollar-gains-as-wall-street-retreats-on-future-fed-hikes.html "Dollar gains as Wall Street retreats on future Fed hikes") has actually referred to these recent highs as “the Trump rally,” which started in November. You may also credit a healthy labour market and [expectations of an upcoming rate hike](https://www.financedigest.com/dollar-slips-before-expected-fed-rate-hike.html "Dollar slips before expected Fed rate hike") in the US for this move. However, it does seem that the market is also pricing in that Trump will push through [corporate tax](https://www.financedigest.com/irish-corporate-tax-boom-breaks-more-records-in-november.html "Irish corporate tax boom breaks more records in November") reforms and cut regulations, which in turn will boost US business. He may or may not go through with the reforms. Nevertheless, it’s safe to [say he has played a role](https://www.financedigest.com/astrazeneca-says-its-covid-shot-still-has-role-despite-global-glut.html "AstraZeneca says its COVID shot still has role despite global glut") in market movements over the past 30 days, and wherever you stand on the new POTUS, these past 31 days have not been without their fair share of action! --- This blog is powered by Superblog. Visit https://superblog.ai to know more. ---