# Robinhood sees retail traders taking a breather in third quarter
Author:  Pal Sinha, Barnali 
Author URL: https://financedigest.com/author/pal-sinha-barnali
Published: 2021-08-19
Category: BUSINESS
Category URL: https://financedigest.com/category/business
Meta Title: Robinhood Expects Slowdown in Retail Trading Activity in Q3
Meta Description: Find out why Robinhood predicts a decrease in retail trading activity in Q3, despite a huge revenue boost from crypto trading. Learn more here.
URL: https://financedigest.com/robinhood-sees-retail-traders-taking-a-breather-in-third-quarterhtml

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By Sohini Podder, John McCrank and Sinéad Carew

(Reuters) – Robinhood Markets Inc expects retail investors to become less active in the third quarter, after frantic trading in crypto currencies helped more than double its revenue, the online brokerage said in its first earnings report as a public company.

A slowdown in retail trading, which has been one of the standout phenomena of the pandemic-era, comes as the U.S. [eased some coronavirus restrictions](https://www.financedigest.com/europe-sees-travel-recovery-as-covid-restrictions-ease.html "Europe sees travel recovery as COVID restrictions ease") in recent weeks. One analyst said the resumption of sports and other activities likely took some of the retail interest.

We aren’t talking about people who are [investors at all but gamblers and now that we’ve got sports back](https://www.financedigest.com/glencore-courts-120-teck-investors-for-bid-backing-as-spinoff-vote-looms-source.html "Glencore courts 120 Teck investors for bid backing as spinoff vote looms -source")? Betting on sports is a lot more fun than betting on the stock market,” said David Trainer, [chief executive officer](https://www.financedigest.com/host-analytics-appoints-chris-labruna-as-chief-revenue-officer.html "Host Analytics Appoints Chris LaBruna as Chief Revenue Officer") of investment research firm New Constructs.

The earnings report from Robinhood, owner of the trading app that emerged as the gateway for investors seeking to get in on this year’s [mania for so-called meme stocks](https://www.financedigest.com/chatgpt-mania-pumps-up-chinese-ai-technology-stocks.html "ChatGPT mania pumps up Chinese AI technology stocks"), offered a glimpse into the trajectory of a trading boom that helped spark breathtaking moves in the shares of companies such as GameStop Corp and AMC Entertainment Holdings and helped make retail investors a force to be reckoned with.

Some analysts expressed concern about whether retail investors will continue to trade at a breakneck pace as the economy continues to reopen, or if the Federal [Reserve begins to unwind the easy money](https://www.financedigest.com/u-s-money-reserve-reviews-real-talk-about-diversifying-with-precious-metals.html "U.S. Money Reserve Reviews: Real Talk About Diversifying With Precious Metals") policies that helped the S&P 500 double from its March 2020 lows. Another potential area of concern may be the hefty chunk of Robinhood’s revenue that comes from [investors trading](https://www.financedigest.com/how-to-begin-investor-trading-in-australia.html "How to begin investor trading in Australia") often volatile cryptocurrencies.

Shares of Robinhood, which went public late [last month](https://www.financedigest.com/fintech-trends-to-look-out-for-during-the-last-six-months-of-2019.html "Fintech trends to look out for during the last six months of 2019"), were recently down 8.73% in aftermarket trading.

For the three months ended September 30, 2021, we [expect seasonal headwinds and lower](https://www.financedigest.com/commerzbank-keeps-outlook-as-lower-q3-profit-still-beats-expectations.html "Commerzbank keeps outlook as lower Q3 profit still beats expectations") trading activity across the industry to result in lower revenue and considerably fewer new funded accounts than in the prior quarter,” the company said.

Robinhood posted net revenue of $565 million for the [quarter](https://www.financedigest.com/warner-bros-discovery-adds-2-million-subscribers-in-first-quarter.html "Warner Bros Discovery adds 2 million subscribers in first quarter") ended June 30 compared with $244 million a year earlier. That 131% gain is above the mean analyst [estimate of $521.8 million](https://www.financedigest.com/global-thermoelectric-generator-market-is-estimated-to-cross-us-720-million-by-2021.html "GLOBAL THERMOELECTRIC GENERATOR MARKET IS ESTIMATED TO CROSS US 0 MILLION BY 2021"), according to Refinitive IBES.

Monthly active users increased 109% to 21.3 million, compared to 10.2 million in the second quarter of 2020, while [assets under custody increased 205% to $102 billion](https://www.financedigest.com/french-asset-manager-amundi-posts-q3-outflows-of-13-billion.html "French asset manager Amundi posts Q3 outflows of billion"), compared with $33 billion a year before.

Transactions based revenue in the quarter came to $451.2 million, with [crypto transactions](https://www.financedigest.com/rambus-unveils-vaultify-trade-for-secure-transaction-and-storage-of-crypto-assets-on-blockchain.html "Rambus Unveils Vaultify Trade for Secure Transaction and Storage of Crypto Assets on Blockchain") contributing $233.1 million, options transactions $164.6 million, and equities $52 million. Crypto [trading revenue](https://www.financedigest.com/bnp-paribas-first-quarter-revenue-beats-as-trading-outperforms.html "BNP Paribas first-quarter revenue beats as trading outperforms") was only $5 million a year ago.

Of the cryptocurrency transaction volume, Robinhood said [trading in dogecoin – a meme-inspired cryptocurrency whose price](https://www.financedigest.com/belgium-supports-energy-price-caps-suspending-trading-in-eu-power-crunch.html "Belgium supports energy price caps, suspending trading in EU power crunch") has shot up by around 9,000% in the past year – made up 62%.

Robinhood’s [platform allows users to make unlimited commission-free trades in stocks](https://www.financedigest.com/stock-trading-platforms-for-beginners.html "Stock Trading Platforms for Beginners"), exchange-traded funds, options and cryptocurrencies. Its simple interface made it popular with investors trading from home during the COVID-19 [pandemic and contributed to wild rides in shares](https://www.financedigest.com/zoom-shares-down-90-from-peak-as-pandemic-boom-fades.html "Zoom shares down 90% from peak as pandemic boom fades") of companies like GameStop, which skyrocketed by more than 1,600% in January before paring those gains, only to surge again later in the year.

[Retail stock trading levels in the current quarter remain](https://www.financedigest.com/global-food-makers-retailers-remain-in-crisis-mode.html "Global food makers, retailers remain in crisis mode") below the peaks seen at the beginning of this year during the GameStop frenzy, according to Vanda Research.

Some analysts believe retail [investors will be less eager to take risks in a down market](https://www.financedigest.com/thoracic-drainage-devices-market-rising-new-business-opportunities-for-investors.html "Thoracic Drainage Devices Market Rising New Business Opportunities for Investors"), potentially hurting Robinhood’s bottomline.

Many of Robinhood’s investors “have not dealt with anything but [up-markets but those markets have the realistic possibility to change as the Fed](https://www.financedigest.com/markets-start-signalling-fed-may-be-going-too-far-amundi.html "Markets start signalling Fed may be going too far – Amundi") (who caused this launch) is apparently reversing,” wrote Chaim Siegel, analyst at Elazar Advisors.

Robinhood enraged some investors and U.S. lawmakers earlier this year when it restricted [trading in some popular stocks following a 10-fold rise](https://www.financedigest.com/stocks-fall-treasury-yields-rise-upon-final-2022-trading-day.html "Stocks fall, Treasury yields rise upon final 2022 trading day") in deposit requirements at its clearinghouse. It has been at the center of many regulatory probes.

The bulk of Robinhood’s revenue, its transactional revenue, comes from a practice called payment for order flow (PFOF), in which retail brokers send [customer](https://www.financedigest.com/canadian-banks-fighting-brokers-back-for-customers.html "Canadian Banks Fighting Brokers Back For Customers") orders to wholesale brokers rather than exchanges, for a slightly better execution price, along with payments from the wholesalers in return.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is scrutinizing PFOF over concerns it might incentivize brokers to send customer [orders to the places that maximize their own profit](https://www.financedigest.com/elevator-maker-kone-hikes-outlook-as-q1-profit-orders-beat-forecasts.html "Elevator maker Kone hikes outlook as Q1 profit, orders beat forecasts"), rather than to the places that would get their customers the best execution, and other potential conflicts of interest.

Robinhood said it does not expect PFOF to be banned, but if it is, it can find other ways to [generate revenue](https://www.financedigest.com/digitally-projected-revenue-to-be-the-unique-selling-point-of-next-generation-centrifuge-market.html "Digitally projected revenue to be the unique selling point of Next Generation Centrifuge Market"), possibly by executing client orders internally.

(Reporting by Sohini Podder in Bengaluru; John McCrank and Sinead Carew in New York; Additional reporting by Medha Singh; Editing by Steve Orlofsky and Stephen Coates)


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