# Cold spell tests Europe&#8217;s gas cutback ambitions
Author:  Pal Sinha, Barnali 
Author URL: https://financedigest.com/author/pal-sinha-barnali
Published: 2022-12-09
Category: NEWS
Category URL: https://financedigest.com/category/news
Meta Title: European Gas Consumption Drops as Winter Looms
Meta Description: Discover how Europe is managing its gas consumption during the winter, including a breakdown of country reduction targets and potential challenges ahead.
URL: https://financedigest.com/cold-spell-tests-europes-gas-cutback-ambitionshtml

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By Leigh Thomas

PARIS (Reuters) – Europe’s first cold spell heading into the depths of winter is testing the resolve of countries to continue limiting gas use after they comfortably exceeded an EU reduction target, analysis of consumption data shows.

European countries on average cut their natural gas consumption by 24% in November from the 2019-2021 average for the same month, according to Reuters calculations using data from the ENTSOG network operators federation for 14 countries and the national network regulator for Germany.

Despite wide variations between countries, that was down from 29% in October but comfortably more than the 15% reduction target EU countries set for the [winter in response to Russian supply](https://www.financedigest.com/ceraweek-europe-gas-supplies-to-stay-tight-2-more-winters-equinor-ceo-says.html "CERAWEEK-Europe gas supplies to stay tight 2 more winters, Equinor CEO says") cuts.

Graphic: Cutbacks in gas use vary widely, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/EUROPE-GAS/CONSUMPTION/myvmoomyrvr/chart.png “European gas consumption has dropped for two reasons â€“ first, mild temperatures earlier this [fall considerably dampened household demand](https://www.financedigest.com/oil-falls-on-demand-worry-as-fed-make-or-break-moment-approaches.html "Oil falls on demand worry as Fed ‘make or break moment’ approaches"), and second, high prices have led to demand destruction in the industrial sector,” Barclays European economist Mark Cus Babic said.

Household [demand is still very responsive](https://www.financedigest.com/stocks-with-greater-socially-responsible-investor-demand-saw-weaker-losses-during-the-covid-19-crash.html "Stocks with greater socially responsible investor demand saw weaker losses during the COVID-19 crash") to the weather, so we think the latter is a more robust source of savings going forward,” he added.

Unusually warm temperatures in late October and early [November not only left people basking in the sun at outdoor cafes like it was summer but offered European](https://www.financedigest.com/european-shares-kick-off-november-on-bright-note.html "European shares kick off November on bright note") countries relief as they tried to build gas stocks.

However, since the middle of November consumption has surged as a cold spell took hold, [fuelling demand](https://www.financedigest.com/produced-water-treatment-systems-market-fuelled-by-strong-demand-in-north-america.html "Produced Water Treatment Systems Market Fuelled by Strong Demand in North America") for heating. Gas use was down 18% in the last week of November from the long-term average and preliminary [data from network operators suggest](https://www.financedigest.com/dollar-firms-after-u-s-labor-data-suggests-more-rate-hikes.html "Dollar firms after U.S. labor data suggests more rate hikes") consumption has picked up so far in December.

Graphic: European gas savings falling as winter sets in, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/EUROPE-GAS/CONSUMPTION/dwvkddrezpm/chart.png In addition to demand for heating, gas use for power generation remains high as maintenance forces a record number of [French nuclear reactors to remain offline and low levels of wind hits](https://www.financedigest.com/nestle-closes-french-buitoni-factory-hit-by-e-coli-outbreak.html "Nestle closes French Buitoni factory hit by E.coli outbreak") alternative power supplies.

European [countries have also made efforts to cut](https://www.financedigest.com/netflix-cuts-prices-in-some-countries-to-boost-subscriptions-shares-drop.html "Netflix cuts prices in some countries to boost subscriptions, shares drop") their electricity consumption, which was down in November by 9% from the 2015-2021 average, according to Reuters calculations with data from grid operators.

The unusually mild autumn weather means that [countries did not need](https://www.financedigest.com/5-countries-you-need-to-have-an-offshore-account-in.html "5 Countries You Need To Have An Offshore Account In") to start tapping gas reserves until later than they usually do, leaving a cushion in case the winter proves to be colder than usual.

For example, Germany, Europe’s [biggest economy](https://www.financedigest.com/biggest-economy-in-the-world.html "Biggest Economy in the World") and the region’s industrial powerhouse, only began drawing on its reserves on Nov. 17 and outflows have been small since then, according to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe, an industry body for [network operators](https://www.financedigest.com/how-can-network-operators-monetise-television-quickly-and-effectively.html "How can network operators monetise television quickly and effectively?"). [Last year](https://www.financedigest.com/over-50-of-businesses-increased-their-cyber-security-budget-last-year-amid-attacks.html "Over 50% of businesses increased their cyber security budget last year amid attacks"), Germany began tapping stocks on Nov. 1.

Graphic: Gas stocks high heading into depths of winter, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/EUROPE-GAS/CONSUMPTION/byprlljqope/chart.png “The tail [risk of physical energy](https://www.financedigest.com/britains-tax-take-risks-blowing-green-energy-off-target.html "Britain’s tax take risks blowing green energy off target") shortages in Europe has likely been averted, but we still think the very high prices will drag on both consumption and industrial production in the euro area,” Cus Babic said.

While high stock levels should help [Europe get through the winter](https://www.financedigest.com/europe-experienced-second-warmest-winter-on-record.html "Europe experienced second-warmest winter on record") with enough gas to meet demand as long as it does not get too cold for too long, the gas supply crisis is unlikely to entirely be resolved next year.

Analysts at [Dutch bank](https://www.financedigest.com/dutch-online-bank-bunq-applies-for-u-s-banking-licence.html "Dutch online bank Bunq applies for U.S. banking licence") ING said that there is a risk that as gas prices ease demand will recover, making it a struggle to keep up efforts to maintain cutbacks.

While Europe benefited this year from liquefied natural gas imports from the United States to build its reserves, that might not be the case next year if it has to compete with China for energy supplies as its economy [springs back](https://www.financedigest.com/european-junk-debt-sales-spring-back-to-life-as-sentiment-improves.html "European junk debt sales spring back to life as sentiment improves") following the lockdowns that have held back its activity this year.

That means the [risk that Europe could be hit](https://www.financedigest.com/asia-shares-weigh-china-risks-yen-hits-6-month-high.html "Asia shares weigh China risks, yen hits 6-month high") with supply shortages is not off the table, said economist Florence Pisani with asset manager Candriam.

Depending if Russia totally cuts supplies or if Asian and [global growth comes back](https://www.financedigest.com/analysis-at-world-cup-saudi-crown-prince-moves-back-on-to-global-stage.html "Analysis-At World Cup, Saudi crown prince moves back on to global stage") stronger, we’re not completely in the clear for the winter 2023-2024,” she said.

(Reporting by Leigh Thomas, Additional reporting by Nina Chestney in London;Editing by Elaine Hardcastle)


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